guess_coppock_2020

Does Counter-Attitudinal Information Cause Backlash? Results from Three Large Survey Experiments

Guess, Andrew and Alexander Coppock. 2020. British Journal of Political Science 50(4): 1497–1515. doi:10.1017/s0007123418000327

Several theoretical perspectives suggest that when individuals are exposed to counter-attitudinal evidence or arguments, their pre-existing opinions and beliefs are reinforced, resulting in a phenomenon sometimes known as ‘backlash’. This article formalizes the concept of backlash and specifies how it can be measured. It then presents the results from three survey experiments – two on Mechanical Turk and one on a nationally representative sample – that find no evidence of backlash, even under theoretically favorable conditions. While a casual reading of the literature on information processing suggests that backlash is rampant, these results indicate that it is much rarer than commonly supposed.

Corrected in 2020. A coding error affected Table 1 of the original article: it made the reported standard deviations of each treatment group, and their standard errors, inaccurate. The corrected table appears in the corrigendum, linked above. No point estimate or substantive conclusion changed.

Guess, Andrew and Alexander Coppock. 2020. Does Counter-Attitudinal Information Cause Backlash? Results from Three Large Survey Experiments: CORRIGENDUM. British Journal of Political Science 50: 1517. doi:10.1017/S0007123419000024

guess_coppock_2020
Figure 1 from paper: Regression coefficients from models (with controls) reported for all three studies, with 95 per cent confidence intervals British Journal of Political Science