graham_coppock_2021

Asking About Attitude Change

Graham, Matthew H. and Alexander Coppock. 2021. Public Opinion Quarterly 85(1): 28–53. doi:10.1093/poq/nfab009

Surveys often ask respondents how information or events changed their attitudes. Does [information X] make you more or less supportive of [policy Y]? Does [scandal X] make you more or less likely to vote for [politician Y]? We show that this type of question (the change format) exhibits poor measurement properties, in large part because subjects engage in response substitution. When asked how their attitudes changed, people often appear to report the level of their attitudes rather than the change in them. As an alternative, we propose the counterfactual format, which asks subjects what their attitude would have been in the counterfactual world in which they did not know the treatment information. Using a series of experiments embedded in four studies, we show that the counterfactual format greatly reduces bias relative to the change format.

graham_coppock_2021
Figure 1 from paper: Counterfactual format example. The left panel plots the joint distribution of individual responses. The right panel plots the average change by partisan group.